The School of College Oddsodds.college
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USC Trojans v Iowa Hawkeyes

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

USC Trojans (Local)

Prediction 73.65%1.36fair odd
EV -3.52%
Edge -2.69%
Kelly -11.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.49%73.89%73.13%75.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.271.271.3181.30%78.88%78.43%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit)

Prediction 26.35%3.80fair odd
EV +1.45%
Edge +0.376%
Kelly +0.508%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.51%26.11%26.88%27.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.613.513.8529.41%27.71%28.49%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: USC Trojans (Local): 73.65%; Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit): 26.35%. For Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.80. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.45%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -7.94%E -6.35%K -31.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV +1.45%E +0.376%K +0.508%G +0.007%6.0%2026-04-12 12:40
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -8.67%E -7.00%K -36.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV +0.131%E +0.035%K +0.047%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 16:50
1xBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.30%EV -8.67%E -7.00%K -36.14%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.70%EV -0.396%E -0.105%K -0.142%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 17:00
Bally Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -9.41%E -7.65%K -40.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -1.19%E -0.316%K -0.431%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 16:45
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -9.41%E -7.65%K -40.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -1.19%E -0.316%K -0.431%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 16:45
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -9.41%E -7.65%K -40.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -1.19%E -0.316%K -0.431%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 16:49
Bovada🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -7.20%E -5.72%K -27.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -2.50%E -0.677%K -0.927%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 14:53
MyBookie.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -7.20%E -5.72%K -27.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -3.82%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 16:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.13%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.88%EV -7.51%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 16:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.13%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.88%EV -7.51%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 16:05
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.52%E -2.69%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 14:30
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 04:30
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 08:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 08:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 08:54
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 12:35
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.94%E -6.35%K -31.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 19:19
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 16:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%4.9%2026-04-12 19:55