The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

USC Trojans v Iowa Hawkeyes

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 02:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

USC Trojans (Local)

Prediction 78.59%1.27fair odd
EV -4.12%
Edge -3.38%
Kelly -18.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.36%78.52%78.57%80.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.201.201.2286.21%83.60%83.33%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit)

Prediction 21.41%4.67fair odd
EV +3.64%
Edge +0.752%
Kelly +0.948%
Growth +0.035%

assuming max odds 4.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.33%21.48%21.43%22.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.374.404.8424.39%22.89%22.73%20.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: USC Trojans (Local): 78.59%; Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit): 21.41%. For Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.67. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.84, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.64%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.67%EV -8.84%E -7.62%K -55.25%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.33%EV +3.64%E +0.752%K +0.948%G +0.035%6.9%2026-04-10 23:55
FanDuel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -6.48%E -5.45%K -34.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -1.50%E -0.326%K -0.416%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 16:50
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.64%E -0.809%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 17:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.64%E -0.809%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.64%E -0.809%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 17:50
BetMGM🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.48%E -5.45%K -34.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -3.64%E -0.809%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 15:29
Caesars🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.12%E -3.38%K -18.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 16:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 16:55
theScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.27%E -6.16%K -40.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 22:50
Bovada🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.92%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-10 22:56
MyBookie.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.92%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 01:54
DraftKings🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.91%E -4.06%K -23.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.99%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 22:45
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -7.27%E -6.16%K -40.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -8.99%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 00:45
BetUS🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.06%E -2.40%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 16:54
BetRivers🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -12.20%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 16:44
Bally Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -12.20%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 16:45
betPARX🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -12.20%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 16:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.19I 84.03%NM 79.69%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.31%5.4%2026-04-11 01:44