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USC Trojans v Illinois Fighting Illini
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
USC Trojans (Local)
assuming max odds 1.25
Illinois Fighting Illini (Visit)
assuming max odds 4.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: USC Trojans (Local): 77.44%; Illinois Fighting Illini (Visit): 22.56%. For Illinois Fighting Illini (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.43. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.30%.
Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -9.40%E -8.03%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +8.30%E +1.73%K +2.18%G +0.181% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 20:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -9.40%E -8.03%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +7.17%E +1.51%K +1.91%G +0.137% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 20:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -7.85%E -6.60%K -41.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV +1.53%E +0.340%K +0.437%G +0.007% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 20:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.07%E -5.90%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.24%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 20:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.07%E -5.90%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.24%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.13%EV -6.30%E -5.21%K -30.00%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 22.87%EV -7.95%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 19:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.53%E -4.53%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.30%E -5.21%K -30.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.30%E -5.21%K -30.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.30%E -5.21%K -30.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.07%E -5.90%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.59%EV -3.20%E -2.56%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.41%EV -12.69%E -3.28%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 19:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.59%EV -3.20%E -2.56%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.41%EV -12.69%E -3.28%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 19:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.20%E -2.56%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.39%E -4.10%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 20:19 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 20:24 |