The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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USC Trojans v Illinois Fighting Illini

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 18:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

USC Trojans (Local)

Prediction 72.48%1.38fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -8.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.48%72.60%72.34%75.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.281.291.3480.65%77.84%77.52%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Illinois Fighting Illini (Visit)

Prediction 27.52%3.63fair odd
EV +5.66%
Edge +1.47%
Kelly +1.99%
Growth +0.113%

assuming max odds 3.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.56%27.40%27.66%29.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.493.503.8431.25%28.65%28.57%26.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: USC Trojans (Local): 72.48%; Illinois Fighting Illini (Visit): 27.52%. For Illinois Fighting Illini (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.63. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.84, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.66%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.44%EV -9.39%E -7.52%K -37.58%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.56%EV +5.66%E +1.47%K +1.99%G +0.113%6.0%2026-03-08 17:43
BetOnline.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.44%EV -9.39%E -7.52%K -37.58%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.56%EV +5.66%E +1.47%K +1.99%G +0.113%6.0%2026-03-08 17:44
MyBookie.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -10.12%E -8.16%K -42.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV +4.56%E +1.20%K +1.63%G +0.074%7.0%2026-03-08 17:53
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -9.39%E -7.52%K -37.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +1.81%E +0.489%K +0.670%G +0.012%7.0%2026-03-08 17:44
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.50%E -5.04%K -22.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 16:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.50%E -5.04%K -22.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 16:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.50%E -5.04%K -22.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 16:34
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.95%E -6.26%K -29.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 15:45
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.95%E -6.26%K -29.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 15:45
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.95%E -6.26%K -29.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 15:45
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.05%E -3.85%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 17:14
theScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 15:49
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 15:50
Bovada🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 15:48
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -5.05%E -3.85%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 17:19
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.50%E -5.04%K -22.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 16:25
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -2.87%E -2.14%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -11.95%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 00:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%5.2%2026-03-08 17:39