The School of College Oddsodds.college
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USC Trojans v CSU Fullerton Titans

Kickoff: 2026-05-06 02:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

USC Trojans (Local)

Prediction 74.90%1.34fair odd
EV -4.88%
Edge -3.84%
Kelly -18.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.68%74.83%74.95%75.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.251.251.2780.65%79.77%80.00%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

CSU Fullerton Titans (Visit)

Prediction 25.10%3.98fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -0.539%
Kelly -0.725%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.42%25.17%25.05%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.713.703.9028.57%26.94%27.03%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: USC Trojans (Local): 74.90%; CSU Fullerton Titans (Visit): 25.10%. For CSU Fullerton Titans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.98. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.90, with an expected value of -2.10%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.88%E -3.84%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.12%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 23:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.40%EV -4.88%E -3.84%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.60%EV -7.37%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.40%EV -4.88%E -3.84%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.60%EV -7.37%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 15:15
BetUS🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.87%EV -4.88%E -3.84%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.13%EV -9.88%E -2.75%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 15:20
Caesars🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.63%E -4.47%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.10%E -0.539%K -0.725%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 16:22
Bovada🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.63%E -4.47%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.12%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 01:55
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.38%E -5.10%K -25.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.61%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-05 16:00
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.38%E -5.10%K -25.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.87%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 10:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.38%E -5.10%K -25.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.87%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 10:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.38%E -5.10%K -25.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.87%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 10:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.38%E -5.10%K -25.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.12%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 20:04
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.65%EV -6.38%E -5.10%K -25.51%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.35%EV -7.63%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 00:29
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.38%E -5.10%K -25.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.14%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-05 20:19
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -7.13%E -5.75%K -29.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -4.61%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 15:04
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -7.13%E -5.75%K -29.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -7.12%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-05 18:35
Bally Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -7.13%E -5.75%K -29.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -7.12%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-05 18:39
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -7.13%E -5.75%K -29.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -7.12%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-05 18:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.27I 78.74%NM 74.55%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.45%5.6%2026-05-06 01:49