Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.10
assuming max odds 9.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: USC Trojans (Local): 86.67%; CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners (Visit): 13.33%. For CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.50. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +22.64%.
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.84%EV -9.86%E -9.48%K -246.59%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.16%EV +22.64%E +2.46%K +2.76%G +0.625% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 01:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.11%EV -6.40%E -5.92%K -79.96%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.89%EV -2.69%E -0.368%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-18 21:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.66%E -4.24%K -46.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.69%E -0.956%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 17:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.26%E -6.79%K -103.76%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -6.69%E -0.956%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-18 21:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -8.13%E -7.67%K -135.50%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -6.69%E -0.956%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-18 21:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -8.13%E -7.67%K -135.50%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -6.69%E -0.956%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-18 21:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -8.13%E -7.67%K -135.50%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -6.69%E -0.956%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-18 21:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.60%EV -8.13%E -7.67%K -135.50%G +0.000% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 13.40%EV -8.69%E -1.27%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-19 01:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.29%EV -6.40%E -5.92%K -79.96%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.71%EV -9.35%E -1.38%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 00:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.40%E -5.92%K -79.96%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -13.35%E -2.05%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-18 21:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.