Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.95
assuming max odds 1.83
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UNLV Rebels (Local): 48.37%; CSU Fullerton Titans (Visit): 51.63%. For CSU Fullerton Titans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.94. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.83, with an expected value of -5.51%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.51%E -3.01%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-16 23:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.06%E -3.92%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 16:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.06%E -3.92%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 16:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.06%E -3.92%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 17:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.06%E -3.92%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.06%E -3.92%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.06%E -3.92%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 17:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.17%E -3.18%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.51%E -3.01%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-18 00:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -7.13%E -3.72%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -5.51%E -3.01%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-18 00:23 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -7.13%E -3.72%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.03%E -3.31%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-18 00:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.62%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.51%E -3.01%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-18 00:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.62%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.06%E -3.92%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 21:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -5.51%E -3.01%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 22:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -5.51%E -3.01%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 22:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -5.51%E -3.01%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 22:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -9.55%E -5.11%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -8.61%E -4.87%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-17 00:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97% | 5.1% | 2026-03-18 00:30 |