Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UNLV Rebels v Bradley Braves

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 00:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UNLV Rebels (Local)

Prediction 73.85%1.35fair odd
EV -4.73%
Edge -3.67%
Kelly -16.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.43%73.79%73.80%74.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.271.271.2980.00%78.68%78.74%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bradley Braves (Visit)

Prediction 26.15%3.82fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -0.517%
Kelly -0.705%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.30%26.21%26.20%27.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.313.523.543.7530.21%28.39%28.25%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UNLV Rebels (Local): 73.85%; Bradley Braves (Visit): 26.15%. For Bradley Braves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -1.94%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.73%E -3.67%K -16.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.17%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 12:35
BetRivers🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.47%E -4.28%K -19.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 15:15
Bally Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.47%E -4.28%K -19.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 15:15
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.47%E -4.28%K -19.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 15:15
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.21%E -4.89%K -23.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -1.94%E -0.517%K -0.705%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 03:00
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.21%E -4.89%K -23.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.24%E -0.877%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 01:00
theScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.21%E -4.89%K -23.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 16:40
BetUS🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.60%EV -6.21%E -4.89%K -23.00%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.40%EV -7.43%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 18:49
Bovada🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.95%E -5.52%K -26.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 08:05
1xBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.43%EV -6.95%E -5.52%K -26.73%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 27.57%EV -13.44%E -4.06%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 12:40
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.69%E -6.15%K -30.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 14:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.