The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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UNLV Rebels v Arizona St Sun Devils

Kickoff: 2026-03-24 01:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UNLV Rebels (Local)

Prediction 26.01%3.85fair odd
EV +1.43%
Edge +0.366%
Kelly +0.492%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.42%25.83%26.23%27.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.423.573.503.9029.24%27.98%28.57%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona St Sun Devils (Visit)

Prediction 73.99%1.35fair odd
EV -4.55%
Edge -3.53%
Kelly -15.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.61%74.17%73.77%75.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.271.271.2980.65%78.84%78.74%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UNLV Rebels (Local): 26.01%; Arizona St Sun Devils (Visit): 73.99%. For UNLV Rebels (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.85. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.43%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +1.43%E +0.366%K +0.492%G +0.007%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.77%E -5.37%K -26.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 18:33
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.17%E -0.309%K -0.419%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.51%E -6.01%K -30.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 17:35
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.47%E -0.660%K -0.900%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.51%E -6.01%K -30.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-23 02:52
theScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.77%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.51%E -6.01%K -30.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 23:34
DraftKings🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.38%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.29%E -4.13%K -18.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 02:54
LowVig.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.38%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.29%E -4.13%K -18.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 12:19
BetOnline.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.38%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.29%E -4.13%K -18.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 12:19
MyBookie.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -7.68%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.03%E -4.75%K -22.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 22:43
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.98%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.55%E -3.53%K -15.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-24 00:15
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.98%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.55%E -3.53%K -15.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-24 00:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.98%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.55%E -3.53%K -15.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-24 00:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.98%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.03%E -4.75%K -22.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-24 00:09
BetRivers🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.98%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -6.77%E -5.37%K -26.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-23 22:34
betPARX🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.98%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -6.77%E -5.37%K -26.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-23 22:34
Bally Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.98%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -6.77%E -5.37%K -26.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-23 22:34
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.98%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.51%E -6.01%K -30.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-23 15:40
Fliff🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -8.98%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -8.25%E -6.65%K -34.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-23 22:35
BetUS🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 26.89%EV -9.50%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.11%EV -5.29%E -4.13%K -18.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 12:44
1xBet🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 27.39%EV -11.06%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.61%EV -4.55%E -3.53%K -15.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 17:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎3.62I 27.62%NM 21.65%1.00I 100.00%NM 78.35%27.6%2026-03-24 00:55