The School of College Oddsodds.college
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UNC Wilmington Seahawks v NC State Wolfpack

Kickoff: 2026-03-17 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UNC Wilmington Seahawks (Local)

Prediction 41.15%2.43fair odd
EV +2.87%
Edge +1.15%
Kelly +1.91%
Growth +0.055%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.42%41.10%41.14%43.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.272.252.5046.51%43.98%44.44%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

NC State Wolfpack (Visit)

Prediction 58.85%1.70fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -2.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.28%58.90%58.86%61.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.591.591.6764.94%62.76%62.89%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UNC Wilmington Seahawks (Local): 41.15%; NC State Wolfpack (Visit): 58.85%. For UNC Wilmington Seahawks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.87%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +2.87%E +1.15%K +1.91%G +0.055%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -8.19%E -5.25%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-17 21:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -0.015%E -0.006%K -0.011%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -9.36%E -6.08%K -17.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 20:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -0.015%E -0.006%K -0.011%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -9.36%E -6.08%K -17.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 20:40
BetUS🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -0.015%E -0.006%K -0.011%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -9.36%E -6.08%K -17.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 20:40
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.31%E -1.41%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.60%E -4.84%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 20:35
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.25%E -3.26%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 20:40
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.42%E -4.04%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 20:37
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.42%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.66%E -2.87%K -7.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 20:48
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.42%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.60%E -4.84%K -13.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-17 21:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.42%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.60%E -4.84%K -13.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-17 21:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.42%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.60%E -4.84%K -13.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-17 21:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.82%EV -7.83%E -3.50%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -5.25%E -3.26%K -8.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 20:19
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.48%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.25%E -3.26%K -8.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 20:50
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -11.54%E -5.37%K -10.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -1.71%E -1.03%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 18:05
BetRivers🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -11.54%E -5.37%K -10.03%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -3.48%E -2.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 21:09
betPARX🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -11.54%E -5.37%K -10.03%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -3.48%E -2.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 21:10
Bally Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -11.54%E -5.37%K -10.03%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -3.48%E -2.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 21:10
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -11.54%E -5.37%K -10.03%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -6.42%E -4.04%K -10.89%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 21:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%5.1%2026-03-17 21:45