Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UNC Wilmington Seahawks v Monmouth Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-05-22 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UNC Wilmington Seahawks (Local)

Prediction 65.01%1.54fair odd
EV -5.74%
Edge -3.96%
Kelly -12.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.69%65.01%65.01%65.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.441.431.4569.93%69.63%69.93%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Monmouth Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 34.99%2.86fair odd
EV -5.52%
Edge -2.04%
Kelly -3.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.78%34.99%34.99%35.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.672.652.7038.17%37.52%37.74%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UNC Wilmington Seahawks (Local): 65.01%; Monmouth Hawks (Visit): 34.99%. For Monmouth Hawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.86. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -5.52%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.74%E -3.96%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.52%E -2.04%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 11:00
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.74%E -3.96%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.52%E -2.04%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 12:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.39%E -4.44%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.52%E -2.04%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-22 13:40
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.04%E -4.92%K -16.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.26%E -2.74%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-22 11:20
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.04%E -4.92%K -16.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.26%E -2.74%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-22 11:19
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.04%E -4.92%K -16.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.26%E -2.74%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-22 11:19
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.04%E -4.92%K -16.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.26%E -2.74%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-22 11:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.69%EV -7.04%E -4.92%K -16.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.31%EV -8.31%E -3.17%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-22 12:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.40I 71.43%NM 64.19%2.51I 39.84%NM 35.81%11.3%2026-05-22 14:20