The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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UMBC Retrievers v Maryland Terrapins

Kickoff: 2026-04-07 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UMBC Retrievers (Local)

Prediction 39.41%2.54fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -2.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.35%39.50%39.62%42.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.222.372.402.4645.05%42.28%41.67%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Maryland Terrapins (Visit)

Prediction 60.59%1.65fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -4.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.96%60.50%60.38%61.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.561.551.6165.36%64.18%64.52%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UMBC Retrievers (Local): 39.41%; Maryland Terrapins (Visit): 60.59%. For Maryland Terrapins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.65. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.61, with an expected value of -2.45%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -3.05%E -1.24%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -7.30%E -4.77%K -13.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-07 17:14
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.45%E -1.41%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.30%E -4.77%K -13.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 17:10
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.42%E -2.26%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.66%E -2.30%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 16:25
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.42%E -2.26%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 15:55
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.42%E -2.26%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.69%E -4.34%K -12.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-07 15:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.42%E -2.26%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.30%E -4.77%K -13.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 17:19
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -8.18%E -3.51%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -6.08%E -3.92%K -11.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 16:59
Bally Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -8.18%E -3.51%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -6.08%E -3.92%K -11.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 17:00
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -8.18%E -3.51%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -6.08%E -3.92%K -11.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 17:00
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.36%E -4.07%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.05%E -1.91%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-07 15:00
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -12.51%E -5.64%K -10.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.96%EV -2.45%E -1.52%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 16:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%7.1%2026-04-07 17:05