Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UIC Flames v Northwestern Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-04-08 22:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

37%

63%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UIC Flames (Local)

Prediction 37.46%2.67fair odd

EV +1.14%

Edge +0.420%

Kelly +0.668%

Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

34.94%37.81%37.55%42.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.202.432.462.7045.45%41.14%40.65%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Northwestern Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 62.54%1.60fair odd

EV +0.068%

Edge +0.042%

Kelly +0.113%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

57.89%62.19%62.45%65.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.451.531.511.6068.97%65.48%66.23%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UIC Flames (Local): 37.46%; Northwestern Wildcats (Visit): 62.54%. For UIC Flames (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.67. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.14%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +1.14%E +0.420%K +0.668%G +0.008%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.31%E -6.42%K -20.70%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-04-08 18:19
Bovada🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -0.738%E -0.278%K -0.447%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -9.31%E -6.42%K -20.70%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-04-08 19:20
BetMGM🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.61%E -1.00%K -1.63%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.44%E -5.03%K -15.49%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-04-08 19:10
FanDuel🎯	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -4.86%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.19%E -4.12%K -12.37%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-04-08 19:15
theScore Bet🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.31%E -2.82%K -8.13%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-04-08 21:44
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.46I 40.65%NM 38.04%EV -7.85%E -3.19%K -5.38%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.96%EV -5.56%E -3.68%K -10.90%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-04-08 19:19
Betway🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.19%E -4.12%K -12.37%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-04-08 19:09
1xBet🎯	2.29I 43.67%NM 40.83%EV -14.22%E -6.21%K -11.03%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.17%EV -1.18%E -0.749%K -2.04%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-04-08 19:14
BetRivers🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -17.59%E -8.00%K -14.66%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV +0.068%E +0.042%K +0.113%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-04-08 16:45
Bally Bet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -17.59%E -8.00%K -14.66%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV +0.068%E +0.042%K +0.113%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-04-08 16:45
betPARX🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -17.59%E -8.00%K -14.66%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV +0.068%E +0.042%K +0.113%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-04-08 16:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.