The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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UCLA Bruins v USC Trojans

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCLA Bruins (Local)

Prediction 67.65%1.48fair odd
EV -3.94%
Edge -2.77%
Kelly -9.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.27%68.27%67.47%73.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.371.401.4278.74%72.82%71.43%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

USC Trojans (Visit)

Prediction 32.35%3.09fair odd
EV +11.61%
Edge +3.37%
Kelly +4.74%
Growth +0.551%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.91%31.73%32.53%33.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.962.903.4536.36%33.75%34.48%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UCLA Bruins (Local): 67.65%; USC Trojans (Visit): 32.35%. For USC Trojans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.09. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.61%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -14.09%E -11.09%K -52.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV +11.61%E +3.37%K +4.74%G +0.551%7.7%2026-04-04 13:49
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -14.09%E -11.09%K -52.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV +11.61%E +3.37%K +4.74%G +0.551%7.7%2026-04-04 13:49
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -14.09%E -11.09%K -52.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV +11.61%E +3.37%K +4.74%G +0.551%7.7%2026-04-04 13:50
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 14:39
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -6.65%E -4.82%K -17.49%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -4.24%E -1.43%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 20:03
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.94%E -2.77%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.56%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 17:39
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.14%EV -7.32%E -5.34%K -19.79%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.86%EV -5.21%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 19:10
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 14:19
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 19:04
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.65%E -4.82%K -17.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 14:18
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV -6.50%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 18:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV -6.50%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 18:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.75%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.25%EV -9.09%E -3.24%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 18:58
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:54
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:09
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.03%E -4.01%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 19:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.03%E -4.01%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 19:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.03%E -4.01%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 19:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.42I 70.42%NM 67.65%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.35%4.1%2026-04-04 19:49