The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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UCLA Bruins v USC Trojans

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCLA Bruins (Local)

Prediction 70.80%1.41fair odd
EV -3.71%
Edge -2.73%
Kelly -10.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.23%70.89%70.64%73.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.321.331.3677.52%75.55%75.19%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

USC Trojans (Visit)

Prediction 29.20%3.42fair odd
EV +2.20%
Edge +0.627%
Kelly +0.878%
Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.93%29.11%29.36%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.063.223.203.5032.68%31.05%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UCLA Bruins (Local): 70.80%; USC Trojans (Visit): 29.20%. For USC Trojans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.42. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.20%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.67%E -6.72%K -29.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +2.20%E +0.627%K +0.878%G +0.019%6.1%2026-04-05 22:50
BetRivers🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -8.67%E -6.72%K -29.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -2.18%E -0.652%K -0.929%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 16:24
Bally Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -8.67%E -6.72%K -29.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -2.18%E -0.652%K -0.929%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 16:24
betPARX🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -8.67%E -6.72%K -29.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -2.18%E -0.652%K -0.929%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 16:25
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.40%EV -7.25%E -5.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.60%EV -4.52%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 21:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -7.25%E -5.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.67%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 22:55
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.71%E -2.73%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.10%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 22:49
theScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.54%E -4.96%K -20.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.10%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 22:54
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.83%E -4.39%K -17.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.56%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 22:49
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.83%E -4.39%K -17.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.56%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 04:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.83%E -4.39%K -17.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.56%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 04:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.83%E -4.39%K -17.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.56%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 04:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -7.25%E -5.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.56%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 22:49
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.96%E -6.12%K -26.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.56%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 22:49
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.71%E -2.73%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.48%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 22:49
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.13%E -3.83%K -15.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.48%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 22:53
BetUS🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.75%EV -5.13%E -3.83%K -15.08%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.25%EV -9.78%E -3.16%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 22:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.23%EV -3.71%E -2.73%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.77%EV -10.65%E -3.48%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 22:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.23%EV -3.71%E -2.73%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.77%EV -10.65%E -3.48%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 22:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.33I 75.19%NM 71.64%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%4.9%2026-04-05 22:48