The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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UCLA Bruins v TCU Horned Frogs

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCLA Bruins (Local)

Prediction 68.49%1.46fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -6.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.95%68.48%68.65%69.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.371.361.4273.53%72.85%73.53%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

TCU Horned Frogs (Visit)

Prediction 31.51%3.17fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -0.749%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.49%31.52%31.35%34.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.923.003.1036.36%34.19%33.33%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UCLA Bruins (Local): 68.49%; TCU Horned Frogs (Visit): 31.51%. For TCU Horned Frogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.17. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.10, with an expected value of -2.32%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.74%E -1.93%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.35%E -4.85%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 20:55
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.11%E -2.94%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.20%E -3.58%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 15:58
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.48%E -3.97%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 11:44
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.48%E -3.97%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -10.20%E -3.58%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 15:05
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.48%E -3.97%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -10.20%E -3.58%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 15:05
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.48%E -3.97%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -10.20%E -3.58%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 15:05
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.17%E -4.50%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 00:15
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.85%E -5.04%K -19.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.32%E -0.749%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 15:05
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.85%E -5.04%K -19.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 01:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.85%E -5.04%K -19.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 15:09
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.85%E -5.04%K -19.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 09:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.85%E -5.04%K -19.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 09:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.85%E -5.04%K -19.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 09:40
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -6.85%E -5.04%K -19.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -10.20%E -3.58%K -5.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 11:34
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.07%EV -6.85%E -5.04%K -19.03%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.93%EV -12.72%E -4.59%K -7.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 15:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.