The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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UCLA Bruins v TCU Horned Frogs

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCLA Bruins (Local)

Prediction 63.16%1.58fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -2.20%
Kelly -6.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.87%63.10%62.81%67.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.491.501.5371.43%67.11%66.67%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

TCU Horned Frogs (Visit)

Prediction 36.84%2.71fair odd
EV +5.00%
Edge +1.75%
Kelly +2.70%
Growth +0.135%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.94%36.90%37.19%39.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.532.502.8542.02%39.53%40.00%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UCLA Bruins (Local): 63.16%; TCU Horned Frogs (Visit): 36.84%. For TCU Horned Frogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.71. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -11.58%E -8.27%K -28.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +5.00%E +1.75%K +2.70%G +0.135%6.5%2026-02-21 17:40
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.42%E -5.81%K -18.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -0.526%E -0.195%K -0.309%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 00:50
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.42%E -5.81%K -18.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -0.526%E -0.195%K -0.309%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 02:40
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.21%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 18:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.05%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 17:45
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.53%E -4.41%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.05%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 18:20
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.89%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 13:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.89%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.89%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 13:45
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.53%E -4.41%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.89%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 16:39
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -4.00%E -2.63%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -8.63%E -3.48%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 21:35
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -3.37%E -2.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -12.32%E -5.17%K -8.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 20:15
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -3.37%E -2.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -12.32%E -5.17%K -8.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 20:15
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -3.37%E -2.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -12.32%E -5.17%K -8.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 20:15
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.66%EV -6.53%E -4.41%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -12.32%E -5.17%K -8.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 20:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.