Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCLA Bruins v San Diego St Aztecs

Kickoff: 2026-02-25 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCLA Bruins (Local)

Prediction 81.00%1.23fair odd
EV -4.42%
Edge -3.75%
Kelly -24.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.21%81.04%81.04%82.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.161.171.1887.72%86.16%85.47%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Diego St Aztecs (Visit)

Prediction 19.00%5.26fair odd
EV +0.702%
Edge +0.132%
Kelly +0.163%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 5.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.83%18.96%18.96%21.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.864.915.3023.81%20.59%20.39%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UCLA Bruins (Local): 81.00%; San Diego St Aztecs (Visit): 19.00%. For San Diego St Aztecs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.26. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.702%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -6.85%E -5.96%K -45.67%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV +0.702%E +0.132%K +0.163%G +0.001%5.8%2026-02-25 00:50
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.23%E -4.47%K -30.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.00%E -1.000%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 16:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.23%E -4.47%K -30.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.00%E -1.000%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.23%E -4.47%K -30.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.00%E -1.000%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 16:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.23%E -4.47%K -30.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.00%E -1.000%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 19:05
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.66%E -6.72%K -54.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.00%E -1.000%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-24 18:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.76%EV -5.23%E -4.47%K -30.77%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.24%EV -6.71%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 23:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.76%EV -5.23%E -4.47%K -30.77%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.24%EV -6.71%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 23:55
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -7.66%E -6.72%K -54.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -6.90%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-25 00:49
Bally Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -7.66%E -6.72%K -54.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -6.90%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-25 00:49
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -7.66%E -6.72%K -54.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -6.90%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-25 00:49
BetMGM🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.42%E -3.75%K -24.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.75%E -2.05%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 16:15
Betway🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -7.66%E -6.72%K -54.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -9.75%E -2.05%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-25 00:49
BetUS🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -5.23%E -4.47%K -30.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -10.70%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-24 16:05
Bovada🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.42%E -3.75%K -24.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.50%E -3.22%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-24 20:04
1xBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.21%EV -5.23%E -4.47%K -30.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -20.20%E -4.81%K -6.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-24 18:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.