Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCLA Bruins v Saint Mary's Gaels

Kickoff: 2026-05-29 19:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCLA Bruins (Local)

Prediction 83.45%1.20fair odd
EV -4.04%
Edge -3.51%
Kelly -26.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.30%83.55%83.51%86.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.121.131.1590.91%88.93%88.89%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Saint Mary's Gaels (Visit)

Prediction 16.55%6.04fair odd
EV +21.33%
Edge +2.91%
Kelly +3.37%
Growth +0.719%

assuming max odds 7.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.05%16.45%16.49%17.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.305.795.607.3318.87%17.27%17.86%13.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UCLA Bruins (Local): 83.45%; Saint Mary's Gaels (Visit): 16.55%. For Saint Mary's Gaels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.04. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +21.33%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.95%EV -8.21%E -7.46%K -82.08%G +0.000%7.33I 13.64%NM 13.05%EV +21.33%E +2.91%K +3.37%G +0.719%4.6%2026-05-29 16:59
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -6.54%E -5.84%K -54.49%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV +2.63%E +0.423%K +0.505%G +0.013%5.4%2026-05-29 14:20
Bally Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -8.21%E -7.46%K -82.08%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV +0.970%E +0.159%K +0.190%G +0.002%7.3%2026-05-29 15:18
betPARX🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -8.21%E -7.46%K -82.08%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV +0.970%E +0.159%K +0.190%G +0.002%7.3%2026-05-29 15:20
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -8.21%E -7.46%K -82.08%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV +0.970%E +0.159%K +0.190%G +0.002%7.3%2026-05-29 15:19
Pinnacle🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.18%EV -6.54%E -5.84%K -54.49%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 15.82%EV -1.35%E -0.226%K -0.272%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 23:09
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.54%E -5.84%K -54.49%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -4.00%E -0.689%K -0.832%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-29 17:39
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -7.37%E -6.64%K -67.03%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -4.82%E -0.839%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-29 16:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -5.70%E -5.05%K -43.88%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -5.65%E -0.991%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 17:39
Caesars🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.96%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 15:19
BetMGM🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.87%E -4.27%K -34.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.96%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 15:09
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.87%E -4.27%K -34.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.96%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 16:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.87%E -4.27%K -34.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.96%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 17:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.87%E -4.27%K -34.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.96%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 17:00
Betway🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.37%E -6.64%K -67.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -8.96%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-29 13:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.67%EV -4.87%E -4.27%K -34.78%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.33%EV -9.95%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 17:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.67%EV -4.87%E -4.27%K -34.78%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.33%EV -9.95%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 17:49
BetUS🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -4.87%E -4.27%K -34.78%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -12.27%E -2.32%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-29 17:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.13I 88.50%NM 84.28%6.06I 16.50%NM 15.72%5.0%2026-05-29 18:49