Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCLA Bruins v Purdue Boilermakers

Kickoff: 2026-05-22 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCLA Bruins (Local)

Prediction 79.38%1.26fair odd
EV -5.54%
Edge -4.66%
Kelly -29.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.23%79.70%79.38%80.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.171.181.1987.72%85.56%84.75%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Purdue Boilermakers (Visit)

Prediction 20.62%4.85fair odd
EV -1.00%
Edge -0.209%
Kelly -0.264%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.19%20.30%20.62%20.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.644.584.8022.22%21.55%21.83%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UCLA Bruins (Local): 79.38%; Purdue Boilermakers (Visit): 20.62%. For Purdue Boilermakers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.85. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.80, with an expected value of -1.00%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.54%E -4.66%K -29.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -5.13%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-22 19:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.30%EV -5.54%E -4.66%K -29.17%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.70%EV -5.95%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 19:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.30%EV -5.54%E -4.66%K -29.17%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.70%EV -5.95%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 19:00
BetMGM🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.34%E -5.37%K -35.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 19:00
BetUS🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.34%E -5.37%K -35.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 18:59
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -9.51%E -8.34%K -67.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -1.00%E -0.209%K -0.264%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-22 18:59
Bally Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -9.51%E -8.34%K -67.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -1.00%E -0.209%K -0.264%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-22 18:59
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -9.51%E -8.34%K -67.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -1.00%E -0.209%K -0.264%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-22 18:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.