Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCLA Bruins v Purdue Boilermakers

Kickoff: 2026-05-23 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

79%

21%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCLA Bruins (Local)

Prediction 79.42%1.26fair odd

EV -5.48%

Edge -4.61%

Kelly -28.86%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

78.27%79.45%79.38%80.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.171.181.181.1985.47%84.75%84.75%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Purdue Boilermakers (Visit)

Prediction 20.58%4.86fair odd

EV +0.818%

Edge +0.167%

Kelly +0.210%

Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 4.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

19.28%20.55%20.62%21.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.254.564.564.9023.53%21.92%21.93%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UCLA Bruins (Local): 79.42%; Purdue Boilermakers (Visit): 20.58%. For Purdue Boilermakers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.86. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.818%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -7.07%E -6.05%K -41.60%G +0.000%	4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV +0.818%E +0.167%K +0.210%G +0.002%	5.9%	2026-05-22 23:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.28%E -5.32%K -34.88%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -2.27%E -0.478%K -0.605%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-22 23:10
DraftKings🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.48%E -4.61%K -28.86%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -5.35%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-22 23:09
theScore Bet🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.07%E -6.05%K -41.60%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -5.35%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-22 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 79.30%EV -5.48%E -4.61%K -28.86%G +0.000%	4.56I 21.93%NM 20.70%EV -6.18%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-05-22 23:09
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 79.30%EV -5.48%E -4.61%K -28.86%G +0.000%	4.56I 21.93%NM 20.70%EV -6.18%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-05-22 23:09
BetUS🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.28%E -5.32%K -34.88%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.41%E -1.65%K -2.12%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-22 23:09
BetMGM🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.28%E -5.32%K -34.88%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.41%E -1.65%K -2.12%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-22 22:59
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -7.07%E -6.05%K -41.60%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -9.47%E -2.15%K -2.79%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-05-22 23:04
Betway🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -6.28%E -5.32%K -34.88%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -12.56%E -2.95%K -3.86%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-05-22 23:09

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.