Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCLA Bruins v Oregon Ducks

Kickoff: 2026-05-10 01:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCLA Bruins (Local)

Prediction 73.67%1.36fair odd
EV -3.49%
Edge -2.66%
Kelly -11.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.52%73.72%73.68%75.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.281.281.3180.00%78.19%78.13%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oregon Ducks (Visit)

Prediction 26.33%3.80fair odd
EV +0.036%
Edge +0.009%
Kelly +0.013%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.75%26.28%26.32%28.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.293.523.503.8030.40%28.38%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UCLA Bruins (Local): 73.67%; Oregon Ducks (Visit): 26.33%. For Oregon Ducks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.799. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.800, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.036%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -7.17%E -5.69%K -27.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV +0.036%E +0.009%K +0.013%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 22:19
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +0.036%E +0.009%K +0.013%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 18:44
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.60%E -0.702%K -0.962%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 22:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.43%E -5.07%K -23.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.55%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 19:34
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -7.17%E -5.69%K -27.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.55%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 18:04
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -7.17%E -5.69%K -27.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.55%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 18:00
Bally Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -7.17%E -5.69%K -27.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.55%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 18:00
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.49%E -2.66%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 11:43
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.96%E -3.84%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 04:54
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.96%E -3.84%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 11:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.96%E -3.84%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 11:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.96%E -3.84%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 11:44
Bovada🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 05:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.43%E -5.07%K -23.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 19:34
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 19:59
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.61%EV -4.96%E -3.84%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.39%EV -9.97%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 18:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.01%EV -3.49%E -2.66%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.99%EV -11.28%E -3.35%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 01:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.01%EV -3.49%E -2.66%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.99%EV -11.28%E -3.35%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 01:19
BetUS🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.52%EV -3.49%E -2.66%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.48%EV -13.39%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 01:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%5.3%2026-05-10 01:20