Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCLA Bruins v Oregon Ducks

Kickoff: 2026-05-24 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCLA Bruins (Local)

Prediction 63.67%1.57fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -4.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%64.09%63.41%66.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.461.471.5373.53%68.67%68.03%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oregon Ducks (Visit)

Prediction 36.33%2.75fair odd
EV +1.72%
Edge +0.615%
Kelly +0.957%
Growth +0.016%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.09%35.91%36.59%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.622.602.8040.00%38.14%38.46%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UCLA Bruins (Local): 63.67%; Oregon Ducks (Visit): 36.33%. For Oregon Ducks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.75. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.72%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.95%E -6.26%K -20.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +1.72%E +0.615%K +0.957%G +0.016%5.6%2026-05-24 15:20
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -7.04%E -4.82%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -0.094%E -0.034%K -0.053%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 18:10
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -13.41%E -9.86%K -37.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -0.094%E -0.034%K -0.053%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-24 17:40
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -13.41%E -9.86%K -37.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -0.094%E -0.034%K -0.053%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-24 17:40
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -13.41%E -9.86%K -37.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -0.094%E -0.034%K -0.053%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-24 17:39
FanDuel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -6.40%E -4.36%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -4.09%E -1.55%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 18:00
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.31%E -5.77%K -18.90%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.82%E -1.84%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 15:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.31%E -5.77%K -18.90%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.82%E -1.84%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 15:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.31%E -5.77%K -18.90%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.82%E -1.84%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 15:50
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.49%E -3.00%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.54%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.77%E -3.90%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.54%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 18:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -5.13%E -3.44%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -6.63%E -2.58%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -5.13%E -3.44%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -6.63%E -2.58%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 18:40
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.58%E -1.69%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.89%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 17:59
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.77%E -3.90%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.36%E -2.89%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 17:58
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -4.49%E -3.00%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -7.72%E -3.04%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 18:00
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.84%EV -5.13%E -3.44%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.16%EV -8.45%E -3.35%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 18:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.07%EV -6.40%E -4.36%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 36.93%EV -8.81%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 18:09
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.77%E -3.90%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.18%E -3.67%K -6.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 18:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 62.55%1.67I 59.88%NM 37.45%59.9%2026-05-24 15:40