Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCLA Bruins v Minnesota Golden Gophers

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCLA Bruins (Local)

Prediction 88.06%1.14fair odd
EV -4.90%
Edge -4.53%
Kelly -61.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.74%88.02%88.20%88.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.071.071.0894.34%93.46%93.46%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Golden Gophers (Visit)

Prediction 11.94%8.37fair odd
EV +1.50%
Edge +0.177%
Kelly +0.200%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 8.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.09%11.98%11.80%13.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.007.767.798.5014.29%12.89%12.84%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UCLA Bruins (Local): 88.06%; Minnesota Golden Gophers (Visit): 11.94%. For Minnesota Golden Gophers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.37. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.50%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.90%E -4.53%K -61.21%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +1.50%E +0.177%K +0.200%G +0.003%4.4%2026-04-18 19:20
FanDuel🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.66%E -6.28%K -110.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +1.50%E +0.177%K +0.200%G +0.003%6.1%2026-04-18 19:45
DraftKings🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.90%E -4.53%K -61.21%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.47%E -0.559%K -0.639%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 16:30
1xBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.66%E -6.28%K -110.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -4.47%E -0.559%K -0.639%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 20:35
Bovada🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.66%E -6.28%K -110.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -4.47%E -0.559%K -0.639%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 16:29
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.66%E -6.28%K -110.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -4.47%E -0.559%K -0.639%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 20:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.66%E -6.28%K -110.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -4.47%E -0.559%K -0.639%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 20:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.66%E -6.28%K -110.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -4.47%E -0.559%K -0.639%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 20:10
theScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.66%E -6.28%K -110.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -4.47%E -0.559%K -0.639%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 19:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.53%EV -4.90%E -4.53%K -61.21%G +0.000%7.58I 13.19%NM 12.47%EV -9.49%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 20:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.53%EV -4.90%E -4.53%K -61.21%G +0.000%7.58I 13.19%NM 12.47%EV -9.49%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 20:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.90%E -4.53%K -61.21%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.44%E -1.39%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 19:44
BetRivers🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.78%E -5.40%K -82.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -10.44%E -1.39%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 20:30
betPARX🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.78%E -5.40%K -82.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -10.44%E -1.39%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 20:30
Bally Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.78%E -5.40%K -82.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -10.44%E -1.39%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 20:30
BetUS🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -4.90%E -4.53%K -61.21%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -13.43%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 20:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -4.90%E -4.53%K -61.21%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -14.02%E -1.95%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 19:49
Betway🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.78%E -5.40%K -82.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -16.41%E -2.34%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 19:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.06I 94.34%NM 89.56%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.44%5.3%2026-04-18 20:10