The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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UCLA Bruins v Michigan Wolverines

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCLA Bruins (Local)

Prediction 85.25%1.17fair odd
EV -4.51%
Edge -4.03%
Kelly -37.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.21%85.21%85.03%86.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.101.101.1292.59%90.91%90.91%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Michigan Wolverines (Visit)

Prediction 14.75%6.78fair odd
EV +3.22%
Edge +0.459%
Kelly +0.536%
Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.37%14.79%14.97%16.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.386.257.0018.18%15.68%16.00%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UCLA Bruins (Local): 85.25%; Michigan Wolverines (Visit): 14.75%. For Michigan Wolverines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.78. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.22%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.22%E -5.65%K -62.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.22%E +0.459%K +0.536%G +0.017%5.2%2026-03-15 15:55
BetRivers🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.92%E -7.34%K -99.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +3.22%E +0.459%K +0.536%G +0.017%6.9%2026-03-15 19:05
betPARX🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.92%E -7.34%K -99.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +3.22%E +0.459%K +0.536%G +0.017%6.9%2026-03-15 19:05
Bally Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.92%E -7.34%K -99.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +3.22%E +0.459%K +0.536%G +0.017%6.9%2026-03-15 19:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.04%EV -6.22%E -5.65%K -62.20%G +0.000%6.78I 14.75%NM 13.96%EV -0.029%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.04%EV -6.22%E -5.65%K -62.20%G +0.000%6.78I 14.75%NM 13.96%EV -0.029%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 18:35
Caesars🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.37%E -4.84%K -48.79%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -0.471%E -0.070%K -0.082%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 15:52
BetUS🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -6.22%E -5.65%K -62.20%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -5.63%E -0.880%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 18:34
1xBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.20%EV -6.22%E -5.65%K -62.20%G +0.000%6.33I 15.80%NM 14.80%EV -6.66%E -1.05%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 18:35
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -6.22%E -5.65%K -62.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -7.84%E -1.25%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 02:04
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -5.37%E -4.84%K -48.79%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -8.58%E -1.38%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 18:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -6.22%E -5.65%K -62.20%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -8.58%E -1.38%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 18:38
Fliff🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.16%EV -7.92%E -7.34%K -99.06%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.84%EV -8.58%E -1.38%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 19:10
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.37%E -4.84%K -48.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.37%E -4.84%K -48.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.37%E -4.84%K -48.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 18:35
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.22%E -5.65%K -62.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 18:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.51%E -4.03%K -37.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -15.22%E -2.65%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 18:33
Betway🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -5.37%E -4.84%K -48.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -18.90%E -3.44%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 18:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.10I 90.91%NM 86.49%7.04I 14.20%NM 13.51%5.1%2026-03-15 19:35