The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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UCLA Bruins v Michigan Wolverines

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 21:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCLA Bruins (Local)

Prediction 86.29%1.16fair odd
EV -5.09%
Edge -4.62%
Kelly -50.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.53%86.22%86.43%86.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.081.081.1093.46%92.19%92.59%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Michigan Wolverines (Visit)

Prediction 13.71%7.29fair odd
EV -4.00%
Edge -0.571%
Kelly -0.666%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.26%13.78%13.57%14.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.456.746.757.0015.50%14.83%14.81%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UCLA Bruins (Local): 86.29%; Michigan Wolverines (Visit): 13.71%. For Michigan Wolverines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.29. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 7.00, with an expected value of -4.00%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.09%E -4.62%K -50.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.00%E -0.571%K -0.666%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 13:20
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.09%E -4.62%K -50.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.85%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 06:34
FanDuel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.95%E -5.46%K -66.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -4.00%E -0.571%K -0.666%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 13:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.44%EV -5.95%E -5.46%K -66.10%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.56%EV -4.68%E -0.674%K -0.787%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.44%EV -5.95%E -5.46%K -66.10%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.56%EV -4.68%E -0.674%K -0.787%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 18:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.95%E -5.46%K -66.10%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -7.43%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 14:10
BetUS🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.83%EV -5.95%E -5.46%K -66.10%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.17%EV -9.48%E -1.44%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 18:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.95%E -5.46%K -66.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -10.85%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:08
1xBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.54%EV -5.95%E -5.46%K -66.10%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.46%EV -11.54%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 20:45
Bovada🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.81%E -6.31%K -85.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.00%E -0.571%K -0.666%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 15:48
888sport🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.81%E -6.31%K -85.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.00%E -0.571%K -0.666%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 13:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.81%E -6.31%K -85.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.00%E -0.571%K -0.666%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 13:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.81%E -6.31%K -85.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.00%E -0.571%K -0.666%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 13:20
Betway🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.81%E -6.31%K -85.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -10.85%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 14:10
betPARX🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.81%E -6.31%K -85.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -10.85%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 14:05
BetRivers🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.81%E -6.31%K -85.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -10.85%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 14:10
Bally Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.81%E -6.31%K -85.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -10.85%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 14:10
theScore Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.67%E -7.17%K -109.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -4.00%E -0.571%K -0.666%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 13:20
Fliff🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.77%EV -7.67%E -7.17%K -109.64%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.23%EV -11.54%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 17:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.09I 91.74%NM 87.50%7.63I 13.11%NM 12.50%4.8%2026-03-14 20:49