Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCLA Bruins v Michigan Wolverines

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

85%

15%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCLA Bruins (Local)

Prediction 84.70%1.18fair odd

EV -3.44%

Edge -3.02%

Kelly -24.55%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

82.83%84.76%84.51%87.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.081.101.101.1492.59%90.61%90.91%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Michigan Wolverines (Visit)

Prediction 15.30%6.54fair odd

EV +15.94%

Edge +2.10%

Kelly +2.42%

Growth +0.386%

assuming max odds 7.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

12.47%15.24%15.49%17.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

5.506.226.007.5818.18%16.07%16.67%13.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UCLA Bruins (Local): 84.70%; Michigan Wolverines (Visit): 15.30%. For Michigan Wolverines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.54. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.58, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.94%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 87.53%EV -8.52%E -7.89%K -106.50%G +0.000%	7.58I 13.19%NM 12.47%EV +15.94%E +2.10%K +2.42%G +0.386%	5.8%	2026-03-13 21:40
LowVig.ag🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 87.53%EV -8.52%E -7.89%K -106.50%G +0.000%	7.58I 13.19%NM 12.47%EV +15.94%E +2.10%K +2.42%G +0.386%	5.8%	2026-03-13 21:40
BetUS🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -8.52%E -7.89%K -106.50%G +0.000%	7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV +10.90%E +1.50%K +1.74%G +0.190%	6.4%	2026-03-13 21:38
FanDuel🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -6.83%E -6.21%K -68.26%G +0.000%	6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV +0.953%E +0.144%K +0.170%G +0.002%	6.1%	2026-03-13 17:29
DraftKings🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.98%E -5.39%K -54.35%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -0.576%E -0.089%K -0.105%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-03-13 17:30
Bovada🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.83%E -6.21%K -68.26%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -0.576%E -0.089%K -0.105%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-13 17:27
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.13%E -4.58%K -42.76%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.22%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-13 20:19
888sport🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.98%E -5.39%K -54.35%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.22%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-13 17:05
888sport (SE)🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.98%E -5.39%K -54.35%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.22%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-13 17:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.98%E -5.39%K -54.35%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.22%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-13 17:05
theScore Bet🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.83%E -6.21%K -68.26%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -8.22%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-13 17:00
Bally Bet🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.83%E -6.21%K -68.26%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -8.22%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-13 16:55
betPARX🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.83%E -6.21%K -68.26%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -8.22%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-13 16:55
BetRivers🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.83%E -6.21%K -68.26%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -8.22%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-13 16:58
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 84.17%EV -5.98%E -5.39%K -54.35%G +0.000%	5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -9.75%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-13 17:34
1xBet🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 83.48%EV -5.13%E -4.58%K -42.76%G +0.000%	5.66I 17.67%NM 16.52%EV -13.42%E -2.37%K -2.88%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-14 00:19
Fliff🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 83.83%EV -7.67%E -7.04%K -85.25%G +0.000%	5.65I 17.70%NM 16.17%EV -13.58%E -2.40%K -2.92%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-03-13 19:25
BetMGM🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.44%E -3.02%K -24.55%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -15.87%E -2.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-13 00:24
Betway🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -5.98%E -5.39%K -54.35%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -15.87%E -2.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-03-13 17:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.10I 90.91%NM 86.57%	7.09I 14.10%NM 13.43%	5.0%	2026-03-14 00:37