Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCLA Bruins v Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

Kickoff: 2026-04-22 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCLA Bruins (Local)

Prediction 85.31%1.17fair odd
EV -4.46%
Edge -3.98%
Kelly -37.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.39%85.42%85.41%87.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.101.101.1292.59%91.08%90.91%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors (Visit)

Prediction 14.69%6.81fair odd
EV +7.26%
Edge +0.994%
Kelly +1.15%
Growth +0.084%

assuming max odds 7.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.89%14.58%14.59%15.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.446.507.3016.67%15.53%15.38%13.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UCLA Bruins (Local): 85.31%; Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors (Visit): 14.69%. For Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.81. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.26%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.11%EV -7.87%E -7.29%K -98.35%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.89%EV +7.26%E +0.994%K +1.15%G +0.084%6.3%2026-04-21 11:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -7.02%E -6.44%K -77.95%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -0.823%E -0.122%K -0.143%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 23:24
BetRivers🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -7.87%E -7.29%K -98.35%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -0.823%E -0.122%K -0.143%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 23:20
betPARX🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -7.87%E -7.29%K -98.35%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -0.823%E -0.122%K -0.143%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 23:20
Bally Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -7.87%E -7.29%K -98.35%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -0.823%E -0.122%K -0.143%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 23:20
1xBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.75%EV -7.02%E -6.44%K -77.95%G +0.000%6.56I 15.24%NM 14.25%EV -3.62%E -0.551%K -0.650%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 23:54
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.31%E -4.78%K -48.26%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.50%E -0.692%K -0.818%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-20 23:15
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.16%E -5.60%K -61.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.50%E -0.692%K -0.818%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 01:55
Bovada🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.16%E -5.60%K -61.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.50%E -0.692%K -0.818%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 06:12
MyBookie.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -7.02%E -6.44%K -77.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -4.50%E -0.692%K -0.818%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 23:30
Betway🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.87%E -7.29%K -98.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -4.50%E -0.692%K -0.818%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 00:18
LowVig.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.04%EV -5.31%E -4.78%K -48.26%G +0.000%6.31I 15.85%NM 14.96%EV -7.29%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 13:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.04%EV -5.31%E -4.78%K -48.26%G +0.000%6.31I 15.85%NM 14.96%EV -7.29%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 13:40
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.46%E -3.98%K -37.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.17%E -1.31%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 13:34
BetUS🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -5.31%E -4.78%K -48.26%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -10.37%E -1.70%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 13:45
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.31%E -4.78%K -48.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.84%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 13:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.31%E -4.78%K -48.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.84%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 12:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.31%E -4.78%K -48.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.84%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 12:35
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.16%E -5.60%K -61.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -11.84%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 23:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.09I 91.74%NM 87.34%7.52I 13.30%NM 12.66%5.0%2026-04-22 00:49