The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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UCF Knights v Oklahoma St Cowboys

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 22:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCF Knights (Local)

Prediction 40.26%2.48fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -0.724%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.69%40.25%40.38%41.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.312.302.4444.84%43.29%43.48%40.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oklahoma St Cowboys (Visit)

Prediction 59.74%1.67fair odd
EV -4.42%
Edge -2.76%
Kelly -7.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.22%59.75%59.62%61.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.571.581.6064.94%63.56%63.49%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UCF Knights (Local): 40.26%; Oklahoma St Cowboys (Visit): 59.74%. For UCF Knights (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.48. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.44, with an expected value of -1.77%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -1.77%E -0.724%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -8.00%E -5.19%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 22:00
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.80%E -4.36%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 22:00
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.01%E -3.15%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 22:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.21%E -3.95%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 22:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.40%E -4.78%K -13.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 21:59
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.40%E -3.22%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.01%E -3.15%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 22:00
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.40%E -3.22%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.80%E -4.36%K -12.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 22:00
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.83%EV -7.81%E -3.41%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.17%EV -5.61%E -3.55%K -9.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 21:54
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.42%E -4.18%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -8.00%E -5.19%K -14.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 21:59
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -10.22%E -4.58%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -4.42%E -2.76%K -7.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 22:00
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -10.22%E -4.58%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -4.42%E -2.76%K -7.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 22:00
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -10.22%E -4.58%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -4.42%E -2.76%K -7.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 22:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%5.2%2026-03-14 22:00