The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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UCF Knights v Oklahoma St Cowboys

Kickoff: 2026-05-21 16:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCF Knights (Local)

Prediction 42.28%2.36fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -2.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.18%42.96%42.26%48.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.152.202.3051.81%46.56%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oklahoma St Cowboys (Visit)

Prediction 57.72%1.73fair odd
EV +3.31%
Edge +1.85%
Kelly +4.19%
Growth +0.139%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.88%57.04%57.74%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.671.641.7962.11%59.85%60.98%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UCF Knights (Local): 42.28%; Oklahoma St Cowboys (Visit): 57.72%. For Oklahoma St Cowboys (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.73. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.79, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.31%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -18.39%E -9.53%K -19.78%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV +3.31%E +1.85%K +4.19%G +0.139%7.7%2026-05-21 13:40
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -18.39%E -9.53%K -19.78%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV +3.31%E +1.85%K +4.19%G +0.139%7.7%2026-05-21 13:40
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -18.39%E -9.53%K -19.78%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV +3.31%E +1.85%K +4.19%G +0.139%7.7%2026-05-21 13:40
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -11.63%E -5.56%K -10.67%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV +1.58%E +0.898%K +2.08%G +0.033%4.7%2026-05-21 15:00
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.98%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 14:40
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.98%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 14:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.98%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 15:10
FanDuel🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -5.29%E -2.36%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -5.92%E -3.63%K -9.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 15:10
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.75%E -1.19%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.50%E -4.01%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 14:39
MyBookie.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.50%E -4.01%K -10.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-21 15:10
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.75%E -1.19%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.08%E -4.40%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:59
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.98%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.08%E -4.40%K -11.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-21 15:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.98%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.08%E -4.40%K -11.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-21 15:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.98%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.08%E -4.40%K -11.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-21 15:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%1.2%2026-05-21 15:59