The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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UCF Knights v Oklahoma St Cowboys

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 22:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCF Knights (Local)

Prediction 44.70%2.24fair odd
EV -3.44%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -2.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.75%44.74%44.74%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.082.102.1650.00%48.00%47.62%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oklahoma St Cowboys (Visit)

Prediction 55.30%1.81fair odd
EV -3.78%
Edge -2.17%
Kelly -5.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%55.26%55.26%56.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.691.691.7460.61%59.20%59.17%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UCF Knights (Local): 44.70%; Oklahoma St Cowboys (Visit): 55.30%. For UCF Knights (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.16, with an expected value of -3.44%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.44%E -1.59%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.10%E -4.23%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-13 22:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.44%E -3.18%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 22:00
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.44%E -3.18%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 22:00
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.55%E -3.87%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 21:59
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -8.21%E -4.94%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 21:59
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -8.21%E -4.94%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 21:59
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -8.21%E -4.94%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 21:59
MyBookie.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.02%E -3.37%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.99%E -3.53%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 22:00
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -7.91%E -3.84%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -4.89%E -2.84%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 21:48
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.36%E -4.08%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.78%E -2.17%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 22:00
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.36%E -4.08%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.55%E -3.87%K -9.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 22:00
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -10.60%E -5.30%K -10.60%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -8.76%E -5.31%K -13.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-13 22:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%3.8%2026-03-13 21:59