Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.27
assuming max odds 3.90
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UCF Knights (Local): 74.89%; Murray St Racers (Visit): 25.11%. For Murray St Racers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.98. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.90, with an expected value of -2.09%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.88%E -3.85%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 19:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.88%E -3.85%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 19:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.88%E -3.85%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 19:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -5.63%E -4.47%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.36%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.02%EV -5.63%E -4.47%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 25.98%EV -9.87%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 20:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.38%E -5.11%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.60%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.38%E -5.11%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.60%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 21:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.38%E -5.11%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.38%E -5.11%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 18:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -7.13%E -5.75%K -29.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -2.09%E -0.535%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 20:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -7.13%E -5.75%K -29.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -4.60%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 20:19 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 22:30 |