The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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UCF Knights v Murray St Racers

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCF Knights (Local)

Prediction 67.88%1.47fair odd
EV -4.97%
Edge -3.55%
Kelly -12.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.90%68.21%67.70%69.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.371.381.4075.19%73.05%72.46%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Murray St Racers (Visit)

Prediction 32.12%3.11fair odd
EV -0.419%
Edge -0.135%
Kelly -0.199%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.02%31.79%32.30%33.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.832.952.903.1035.34%33.88%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UCF Knights (Local): 67.88%; Murray St Racers (Visit): 32.12%. For Murray St Racers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.11. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.10, with an expected value of -0.419%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.97%E -3.55%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.84%E -2.36%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 22:55
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.97%E -3.55%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.84%E -2.36%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 22:55
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -4.97%E -3.55%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.10%EV -9.09%E -3.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 19:00
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.33%E -4.59%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.63%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 17:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -6.33%E -4.59%K -16.66%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.32%EV -7.16%E -2.48%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 22:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.33%E -4.59%K -16.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.45%E -2.96%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 18:10
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.69%E -5.65%K -21.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -8.45%E -2.96%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 16:25
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -9.72%E -7.31%K -29.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -0.419%E -0.135%K -0.199%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 22:25
Bally Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -9.72%E -7.31%K -29.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -0.419%E -0.135%K -0.199%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 22:24
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -9.72%E -7.31%K -29.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -0.419%E -0.135%K -0.199%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 22:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.39I 71.94%NM 68.41%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.59%5.2%2026-03-06 22:35