The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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UCF Knights v Murray St Racers

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCF Knights (Local)

Prediction 74.15%1.35fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -2.18%
Kelly -9.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.40%74.03%74.07%75.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.271.271.3180.65%78.57%78.74%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Murray St Racers (Visit)

Prediction 25.85%3.87fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -0.467%
Kelly -0.634%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.60%25.97%25.93%28.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.273.543.503.8030.58%28.23%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UCF Knights (Local): 74.15%; Murray St Racers (Visit): 25.85%. For Murray St Racers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.87. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.80, with an expected value of -1.77%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -2.86%E -2.18%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -12.11%E -3.56%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 03:00
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.40%EV -2.86%E -2.18%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.60%EV -15.47%E -4.73%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 15:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.09%E -3.97%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.53%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 15:53
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.36%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 15:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.53%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 15:54
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.53%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 15:40
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.53%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 15:40
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.53%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 15:40
FanDuel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.57%E -5.21%K -25.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -1.77%E -0.467%K -0.634%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 15:44
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.31%E -5.85%K -29.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.53%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 15:54
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -8.05%E -6.49%K -33.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -1.77%E -0.467%K -0.634%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 15:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.26I 79.37%NM 75.53%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.47%5.1%2026-03-08 15:54