The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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UCF Knights v Kansas St Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-05-16 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCF Knights (Local)

Prediction 60.96%1.64fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -5.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.95%61.10%60.61%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.541.541.5966.67%64.94%64.94%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas St Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 39.04%2.56fair odd
EV -0.453%
Edge -0.178%
Kelly -0.292%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%38.90%39.39%40.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.422.412.5542.55%41.38%41.49%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UCF Knights (Local): 60.96%; Kansas St Wildcats (Visit): 39.04%. For Kansas St Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.56. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.55, with an expected value of -0.453%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.07%E -1.93%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 06:43
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.07%E -1.93%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -7.09%E -2.98%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 16:45
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.26%E -3.52%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 04:35
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.90%E -3.14%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 14:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.90%E -3.14%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 14:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 16:39
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -3.97%E -1.61%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 16:45
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.26%E -3.52%K -6.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 14:49
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.453%E -0.178%K -0.292%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 16:29
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -5.14%E -2.11%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 15:50
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -5.14%E -2.11%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 15:50
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -5.14%E -2.11%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 15:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.59I 62.89%NM 38.61%1.00I 100.00%NM 61.39%62.9%2026-05-16 16:05