The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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UCF Knights v Kansas St Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-05-15 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCF Knights (Local)

Prediction 63.70%1.57fair odd
EV -0.625%
Edge -0.401%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.54%63.49%63.73%64.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.481.481.5669.44%67.45%67.57%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas St Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 36.30%2.75fair odd
EV -3.81%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -2.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.64%36.51%36.27%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.482.582.602.6540.32%38.73%38.46%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UCF Knights (Local): 63.70%; Kansas St Wildcats (Visit): 36.30%. For UCF Knights (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.56, with an expected value of -0.625%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -0.625%E -0.401%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -9.25%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 18:25
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -1.26%E -0.814%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -9.98%E -4.02%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 21:10
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.45%E -2.97%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.62%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 16:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.81%EV -5.72%E -3.87%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.19%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 16:55
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.72%E -3.87%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.62%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 13:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.72%E -3.87%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.62%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 16:50
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.72%E -3.87%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.25%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 19:15
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.36%E -4.33%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.81%E -1.44%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 16:45
FanDuel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -6.36%E -4.33%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -4.17%E -1.58%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 16:50
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.62%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 17:00
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.62%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 17:00
Bally Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.62%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 17:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.21I 82.64%NM 62.31%2.00I 50.00%NM 37.69%32.6%2026-05-15 20:40