The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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UCF Knights v Cincinnati Bearcats

Kickoff: 2026-04-17 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCF Knights (Local)

Prediction 53.11%1.88fair odd
EV -5.99%
Edge -3.38%
Kelly -7.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.85%53.25%53.05%54.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.751.751.7758.14%57.19%56.98%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cincinnati Bearcats (Visit)

Prediction 46.89%2.13fair odd
EV -5.29%
Edge -2.62%
Kelly -5.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.99%46.75%46.95%47.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.002.002.0251.28%49.96%50.00%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UCF Knights (Local): 53.11%; Cincinnati Bearcats (Visit): 46.89%. For Cincinnati Bearcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.02, with an expected value of -5.29%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.29%E -2.62%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 19:09
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 03:57
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 20:10
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 06:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 16:09
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 12:24
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.93%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.07%EV -6.69%E -3.36%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 18:25
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.58%E -4.36%K -10.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.57%E -4.39%K -9.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 12:09
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.12%E -4.69%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 04:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.12%E -4.69%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 04:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.12%E -4.69%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 04:14
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -8.65%E -5.03%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -5.29%E -2.62%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 18:09
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -8.65%E -5.03%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -5.29%E -2.62%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 18:10
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -8.65%E -5.03%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -5.29%E -2.62%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 18:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%5.4%2026-04-17 21:30