The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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UCF Knights v Cincinnati Bearcats

Kickoff: 2026-04-19 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCF Knights (Local)

Prediction 58.80%1.70fair odd
EV -4.16%
Edge -2.55%
Kelly -6.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.11%58.72%58.90%59.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.601.611.6363.69%62.33%62.11%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cincinnati Bearcats (Visit)

Prediction 41.20%2.43fair odd
EV -3.17%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -2.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.05%41.28%41.10%42.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.252.232.3546.08%44.54%44.84%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UCF Knights (Local): 58.80%; Cincinnati Bearcats (Visit): 41.20%. For Cincinnati Bearcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.35, with an expected value of -3.17%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -4.16%E -2.55%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -10.59%E -4.88%K -9.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 15:05
Bally Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -4.16%E -2.55%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -10.59%E -4.88%K -9.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 15:05
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -4.16%E -2.55%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -10.59%E -4.88%K -9.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 15:05
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.75%E -2.93%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.23%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 15:04
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -4.75%E -2.93%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -8.94%E -4.05%K -7.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 15:25
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.34%E -3.31%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.35%E -4.25%K -7.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 15:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.34%E -3.31%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.35%E -4.25%K -7.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.34%E -3.31%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.35%E -4.25%K -7.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 15:05
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.92%E -3.70%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.23%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 14:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.51%E -4.10%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.23%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 15:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -6.51%E -4.10%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%EV -6.47%E -2.85%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 15:49
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -7.10%E -4.49%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -3.58%E -1.53%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 15:25
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.69%E -4.90%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.17%E -1.35%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 15:20
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.69%E -4.90%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 15:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%5.3%2026-04-19 15:25