The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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UCF Knights v Arizona St Sun Devils

Kickoff: 2026-05-03 20:50 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCF Knights (Local)

Prediction 52.79%1.89fair odd
EV -4.97%
Edge -2.76%
Kelly -6.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.91%52.79%52.91%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.771.771.8056.82%56.34%56.50%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona St Sun Devils (Visit)

Prediction 47.21%2.12fair odd
EV -5.59%
Edge -2.79%
Kelly -5.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.95%47.21%47.09%48.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.961.952.0052.63%51.05%51.28%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UCF Knights (Local): 52.79%; Arizona St Sun Devils (Visit): 47.21%. For UCF Knights (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.80, with an expected value of -4.97%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 14:34
FanDuel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.03%E -3.39%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 15:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.03%E -3.39%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -7.00%E -3.55%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 20:15
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.56%E -3.70%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 15:54
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.56%E -3.70%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 17:40
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.56%E -3.70%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 17:40
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.56%E -3.70%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 17:40
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.91%EV -7.08%E -4.02%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.09%EV -10.31%E -5.42%K -11.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 17:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%4.9%2026-05-03 20:29