The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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UCF Knights v Arizona St Sun Devils

Kickoff: 2026-05-02 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCF Knights (Local)

Prediction 55.56%1.80fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -3.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.33%55.60%55.70%56.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.691.691.7559.88%59.11%59.35%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona St Sun Devils (Visit)

Prediction 44.44%2.25fair odd
EV -4.01%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -3.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.75%44.40%44.30%46.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.102.102.1650.00%47.62%47.62%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UCF Knights (Local): 55.56%; Arizona St Sun Devils (Visit): 44.44%. For UCF Knights (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.80. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.75, with an expected value of -2.77%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.77%E -1.58%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 16:19
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.99%E -2.92%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.68%E -3.18%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 14:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.99%E -2.92%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.68%E -3.18%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 14:40
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.99%E -2.92%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.68%E -3.18%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 16:49
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -6.10%E -3.61%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -4.90%E -2.29%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 14:30
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.10%E -3.61%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.68%E -3.18%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 16:15
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.66%E -3.96%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -4.01%E -1.86%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 16:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.66%E -3.96%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.68%E -3.18%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 16:24
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.68%E -3.18%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 16:19
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.68%E -3.18%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 15:50
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.68%E -3.18%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 15:50
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.68%E -3.18%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 15:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%4.9%2026-05-02 16:55