Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos v Utah Utes

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

67%

33%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Local)

Prediction 66.86%1.50fair odd

EV -3.05%

Edge -2.11%

Kelly -6.79%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

64.07%67.11%66.85%70.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.331.401.401.4575.19%71.49%71.43%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Utah Utes (Visit)

Prediction 33.14%3.02fair odd

EV +6.05%

Edge +1.89%

Kelly +2.75%

Growth +0.166%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

29.36%32.89%33.15%35.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.552.812.763.2039.22%35.63%36.17%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Local): 66.86%; Utah Utes (Visit): 33.14%. For Utah Utes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.02. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.05%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -10.41%E -7.77%K -30.61%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +6.05%E +1.89%K +2.75%G +0.166%	5.9%	2026-02-28 21:54
Bovada🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -11.08%E -8.33%K -33.57%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +6.05%E +1.89%K +2.75%G +0.166%	6.4%	2026-02-28 22:03
FanDuel🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -9.07%E -6.67%K -25.20%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +4.39%E +1.39%K +2.04%G +0.090%	5.3%	2026-02-28 22:39
theScore Bet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -15.99%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.89%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-02-28 22:39
Betway🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -9.07%E -6.67%K -25.20%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -5.55%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-02-28 22:39
BetUS🎯	1.39I 71.94%NM 67.06%EV -7.07%E -5.08%K -18.12%G +0.000%	2.83I 35.34%NM 32.94%EV -6.21%E -2.19%K -3.39%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-02-28 22:54
LowVig.ag🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.03%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.21%G +0.000%	2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV -7.87%E -2.83%K -4.42%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-02-28 20:04
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.03%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.21%G +0.000%	2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV -7.87%E -2.83%K -4.42%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-02-28 20:04
888sport🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -15.99%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-02-28 22:59
888sport (SE)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -15.99%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-02-28 22:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -15.99%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-02-28 22:59
BetMGM🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.05%E -2.11%K -6.79%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -10.52%E -3.90%K -6.19%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-02-28 17:54
1xBet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -15.99%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -13.17%E -5.03%K -8.13%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-02-28 22:39
BetRivers🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.21%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -15.49%E -6.07%K -9.99%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-02-28 16:35
betPARX🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.21%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -15.49%E -6.07%K -9.99%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-02-28 16:35
Bally Bet🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.21%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -15.49%E -6.07%K -9.99%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-02-28 16:35

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.