Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.45
assuming max odds 3.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Local): 66.17%; Utah Utes (Visit): 33.83%. For Utah Utes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.96. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.50%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.01%E -7.36%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +1.50%E +0.499%K +0.749%G +0.011% | 6.9% | 2026-03-01 20:23 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -8.69%E -6.30%K -22.87%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -3.58%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-01 18:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -8.69%E -6.30%K -22.87%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -3.58%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-01 18:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -8.69%E -6.30%K -22.87%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -3.58%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-01 18:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.51%EV -6.04%E -4.25%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.49%EV -4.59%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 20:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.04%E -4.25%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-01 18:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.72%E -3.28%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-01 16:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.38%E -3.76%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 19:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.37%E -5.26%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-01 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.37%E -5.26%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-01 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.37%E -5.26%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-01 17:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.37%E -5.26%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-01 20:38 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -9.67%E -3.62%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 18:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -9.67%E -3.62%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 18:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -7.37%E -5.26%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.36%E -4.34%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-01 20:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -12.04%E -4.63%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-01 18:19 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.