The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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UC Santa Barbara Gauchos v UC San Diego Tritons

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Local)

Prediction 71.32%1.40fair odd
EV -4.43%
Edge -3.30%
Kelly -13.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.68%71.32%71.43%71.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.321.321.3476.34%75.66%75.76%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UC San Diego Tritons (Visit)

Prediction 28.68%3.49fair odd
EV -5.37%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -2.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.42%28.68%28.57%30.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.083.243.273.3032.47%30.88%30.53%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Local): 71.32%; UC San Diego Tritons (Visit): 28.68%. For UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.40. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.34, with an expected value of -4.43%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV -4.43%E -3.30%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -11.68%E -3.79%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 15:45
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.80%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 15:40
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.85%E -4.43%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.37%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 04:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.85%E -4.43%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.24%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 14:15
theScore Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.57%E -5.01%K -21.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.37%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 06:15
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.57%E -5.01%K -21.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.37%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 08:38
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.00I 100.00%NM 76.80%3.31I 30.21%NM 23.20%30.2%2026-04-12 19:55