Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos v UC San Diego Tritons

Kickoff: 2026-04-10 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Local)

Prediction 85.56%1.17fair odd
EV -5.02%
Edge -4.53%
Kelly -45.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.94%85.43%85.53%86.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.101.101.1192.59%91.07%90.91%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UC San Diego Tritons (Visit)

Prediction 14.44%6.93fair odd
EV +1.05%
Edge +0.150%
Kelly +0.175%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.37%14.57%14.47%16.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.806.366.507.0017.24%15.72%15.38%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Local): 85.56%; UC San Diego Tritons (Visit): 14.44%. For UC San Diego Tritons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.93. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.05%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +1.05%E +0.150%K +0.175%G +0.002%6.0%2026-04-10 15:59
Bovada🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.05%E +0.150%K +0.175%G +0.002%6.9%2026-04-10 15:46
1xBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.68%EV -6.74%E -6.18%K -74.84%G +0.000%6.52I 15.34%NM 14.32%EV -5.88%E -0.901%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 19:20
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.02%E -4.53%K -45.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.17%E -0.949%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 15:30
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.17%E -0.949%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 19:10
theScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -6.17%E -0.949%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 16:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -5.88%E -5.35%K -58.80%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -10.50%E -1.69%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 16:05
BetRivers🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -5.02%E -4.53%K -45.67%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -16.27%E -2.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 15:59
Bally Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -5.02%E -4.53%K -45.67%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -16.27%E -2.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 16:00
betPARX🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -5.02%E -4.53%K -45.67%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -16.27%E -2.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 16:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%5.5%2026-04-10 19:34