Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos v Texas Longhorns

Kickoff: 2026-05-31 22:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

20%

80%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Local)

Prediction 19.84%5.04fair odd

EV +3.15%

Edge +0.605%

Kelly +0.749%

Growth +0.024%

assuming max odds 5.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

18.11%19.83%20.15%22.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.254.734.665.2023.53%21.16%21.46%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas Longhorns (Visit)

Prediction 80.16%1.25fair odd

EV -3.80%

Edge -3.17%

Kelly -19.02%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

77.98%80.17%79.85%81.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.141.171.171.2087.72%85.53%85.84%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Local): 19.84%; Texas Longhorns (Visit): 80.16%. For UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.04. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.15%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV +3.15%E +0.605%K +0.749%G +0.024%	1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -7.81%E -6.79%K -52.08%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-31 22:00
DraftKings🎯	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.820%E -0.164%K -0.205%G +0.000%	1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.01%E -6.04%K -43.81%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-31 21:30
theScore Bet🎯	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -0.820%E -0.164%K -0.205%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.61%E -7.56%K -61.52%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-05-31 21:30
MyBookie.ag🎯	4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -2.80%E -0.572%K -0.719%G +0.000%	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.21%E -5.31%K -36.52%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-31 21:30
Caesars🎯	4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.78%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.80%E -3.17%K -19.02%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-05-31 21:19
LowVig.ag🎯	4.66I 21.46%NM 20.21%EV -7.56%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%	1.18I 84.75%NM 79.79%EV -5.41%E -4.58%K -30.04%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-31 21:09
BetOnline.ag🎯	4.66I 21.46%NM 20.21%EV -7.56%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%	1.18I 84.75%NM 79.79%EV -5.41%E -4.58%K -30.04%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-31 21:10
BetRivers🎯	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -8.75%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%	1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -7.01%E -6.04%K -43.81%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-05-31 21:50
Bally Bet🎯	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -8.75%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%	1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -7.01%E -6.04%K -43.81%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-05-31 21:50
betPARX🎯	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -8.75%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%	1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -7.01%E -6.04%K -43.81%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-05-31 21:49
Betway🎯	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%	1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.21%E -5.31%K -36.52%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-05-31 21:39
BetMGM🎯	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -15.70%E -3.69%K -4.83%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -3.80%E -3.17%K -19.02%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-05-31 20:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.