The School of College Oddsodds.college
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UC Santa Barbara Gauchos v Tarleton State Texans

Kickoff: 2026-05-29 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Local)

Prediction 61.31%1.63fair odd
EV -4.36%
Edge -2.79%
Kelly -7.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.61%61.39%61.54%62.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.541.531.5666.67%65.15%65.36%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tarleton State Texans (Visit)

Prediction 38.69%2.58fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -0.993%
Kelly -1.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.47%38.61%38.46%39.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.442.422.5242.02%41.04%41.24%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Local): 61.31%; Tarleton State Texans (Visit): 38.69%. For Tarleton State Texans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.58. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.52, with an expected value of -2.50%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.36%E -2.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.28%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-29 21:32
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.36%E -2.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 15:39
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.36%E -2.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 13:09
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.05%E -1.63%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 15:09
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.58%E -3.62%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-29 02:18
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.58%E -3.62%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-29 15:38
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -2.50%E -0.993%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-29 13:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -4.82%E -1.96%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 21:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -4.82%E -1.96%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 21:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -4.82%E -1.96%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 19:29
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.21%E -2.13%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 21:29
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 22:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 22:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 22:30
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -7.42%E -4.91%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -2.50%E -0.993%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 20:19
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.03%E -5.36%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-29 19:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.39I 71.94%NM 62.43%2.31I 43.29%NM 37.57%15.2%2026-05-29 21:19