The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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UC Santa Barbara Gauchos v Long Beach State Dirtbags

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 00:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Local)

Prediction 84.27%1.19fair odd
EV -5.62%
Edge -5.02%
Kelly -46.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.21%84.06%84.27%84.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.111.111.1290.91%89.86%90.09%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Long Beach State Dirtbags (Visit)

Prediction 15.73%6.36fair odd
EV -5.62%
Edge -0.936%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.49%15.94%15.73%16.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.505.866.006.0018.18%17.06%16.67%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Local): 84.27%; Long Beach State Dirtbags (Visit): 15.73%. For UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.19. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.12, with an expected value of -5.62%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.62%E -5.02%K -46.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.62%E -0.936%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 23:10
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.62%E -5.02%K -46.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.62%E -0.936%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 23:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.62%E -5.02%K -46.82%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -10.34%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 16:30
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.46%E -5.82%K -58.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.62%E -0.936%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 00:55
1xBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.01%EV -6.46%E -5.82%K -58.73%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 15.99%EV -8.29%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 22:40
Betway🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.46%E -5.82%K -58.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.48%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 16:25
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.30%E -6.64%K -73.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -5.62%E -0.936%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 23:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.00I 100.00%NM 86.13%6.21I 16.10%NM 13.87%16.1%2026-03-06 23:09