The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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UC Santa Barbara Gauchos v Long Beach State Dirtbags

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Local)

Prediction 80.55%1.24fair odd
EV -4.95%
Edge -4.20%
Kelly -27.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.37%80.50%80.55%81.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.161.161.1887.72%85.94%86.21%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Long Beach State Dirtbags (Visit)

Prediction 19.45%5.14fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -0.549%
Kelly -0.687%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.57%19.50%19.45%20.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.784.755.0022.22%20.91%21.05%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Local): 80.55%; Long Beach State Dirtbags (Visit): 19.45%. For Long Beach State Dirtbags (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.14. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.00, with an expected value of -2.75%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.95%E -4.20%K -27.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -8.58%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 02:40
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.76%E -4.92%K -33.87%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -4.69%E -0.958%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 14:24
Bovada🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.76%E -4.92%K -33.87%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -7.61%E -1.60%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 15:38
1xBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -5.76%E -4.92%K -33.87%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -8.58%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 19:35
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.76%E -4.92%K -33.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.47%E -2.77%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 13:44
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.56%E -5.66%K -41.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -2.75%E -0.549%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 15:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.56%E -5.66%K -41.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -6.64%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 19:20
BetRivers🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.56%E -5.66%K -41.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -7.61%E -1.60%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 19:14
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.56%E -5.66%K -41.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -7.61%E -1.60%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 19:14
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.56%E -5.66%K -41.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -7.61%E -1.60%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 19:15
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.17%E -7.17%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -2.75%E -0.549%K -0.687%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 19:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.17I 85.47%NM 81.19%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.81%5.3%2026-03-08 19:05