The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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UC Santa Barbara Gauchos v Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

Kickoff: 2026-03-22 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Local)

Prediction 67.42%1.48fair odd
EV -4.26%
Edge -3.00%
Kelly -10.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.19%67.24%67.44%67.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.401.401.4273.53%71.51%71.43%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors (Visit)

Prediction 32.58%3.07fair odd
EV -3.90%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -2.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.49%32.76%32.56%33.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.852.872.9536.36%35.06%34.84%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Local): 67.42%; Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors (Visit): 32.58%. For Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.07. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.95, with an expected value of -3.90%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.26%E -3.00%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.90%E -1.32%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 12:05
1xBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.19%EV -4.93%E -3.50%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.81%EV -10.09%E -3.65%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 18:09
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.61%E -4.01%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 00:59
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.61%E -4.01%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 16:55
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.61%E -4.01%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 02:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -5.61%E -4.01%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV -5.85%E -2.02%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 16:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -5.61%E -4.01%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV -5.85%E -2.02%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 16:09
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.61%E -4.01%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 16:11
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.61%E -4.01%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.78%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 16:40
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.61%E -4.01%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.41%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 18:58
MyBookie.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.14%EV -6.28%E -4.52%K -16.11%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 18:29
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.30%E -6.11%K -23.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -8.78%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 13:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%8.4%2026-03-22 19:50