The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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UC Santa Barbara Gauchos v Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 22:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Local)

Prediction 68.78%1.45fair odd
EV -3.70%
Edge -2.64%
Kelly -9.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.67%68.82%68.97%70.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.371.361.4074.63%73.17%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors (Visit)

Prediction 31.22%3.20fair odd
EV -0.107%
Edge -0.034%
Kelly -0.049%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.52%31.18%31.03%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.983.003.2035.71%33.50%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Local): 68.78%; Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors (Visit): 31.22%. For Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.203. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.200, with an expected value of -0.107%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.70%E -2.64%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.47%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 16:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -3.70%E -2.64%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV -9.78%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 16:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -3.70%E -2.64%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV -9.78%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 16:44
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.70%E -2.64%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.59%E -4.50%K -7.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 17:34
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.08%E -3.68%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 16:42
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.08%E -3.68%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.47%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 16:32
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.45%E -4.75%K -17.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 07:50
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.45%E -4.75%K -17.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 20:29
1xBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.18%EV -7.14%E -5.29%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.82%EV -5.41%E -1.79%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:19
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.14%E -5.29%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 15:49
Bally Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.14%E -5.29%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 15:49
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.14%E -5.29%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 15:49
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -7.83%E -5.84%K -23.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -0.107%E -0.034%K -0.049%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 16:44
MyBookie.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.55%EV -7.83%E -5.84%K -23.03%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.45%EV -4.48%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 21:54
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.40%EV -7.83%E -5.84%K -23.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -9.47%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 20:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.37I 72.99%NM 69.42%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.58%5.1%2026-03-21 21:49